Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.206394 0.220347 0.235007 0.251601 0.269912 0.289558 0.312306
2025-05-04 0.181269 0.202633 0.226624 0.255787 0.290593 0.331201 0.382768
2025-05-11 0.161891 0.187055 0.216720 0.254791 0.303127 0.363558 0.446686
2025-05-18 0.147170 0.174355 0.207623 0.252182 0.311681 0.390536 0.506920
2025-05-25 0.134384 0.162297 0.197459 0.246180 0.313957 0.408283 0.556293
2025-06-01 0.125009 0.153480 0.190257 0.242761 0.318543 0.428875 0.612419
2025-06-08 0.117480 0.146317 0.184391 0.240214 0.323528 0.450014 0.672567
2025-06-15 0.113085 0.142883 0.183109 0.243720 0.337401 0.486157 0.764642
2025-06-22 0.106373 0.135779 0.176111 0.238092 0.336389 0.497823 0.814906
2025-06-29 0.099454 0.127953 0.167526 0.229292 0.329275 0.498015 0.842895
2025-07-06 0.093664 0.121390 0.160332 0.222008 0.323802 0.500168 0.875015
2025-07-13 0.091330 0.119589 0.159931 0.225165 0.335899 0.535303 0.984918
2025-07-20 0.089365 0.118298 0.160320 0.229811 0.351452 0.580156 1.132347
2025-07-27 0.086482 0.115532 0.158342 0.230502 0.360219 0.613604 1.264982
2025-08-03 0.083242 0.112066 0.155070 0.228756 0.364316 0.638226 1.383979
2025-08-10 0.080088 0.108568 0.151533 0.226255 0.366669 0.659494 1.502030
2025-08-17 0.076575 0.104360 0.146641 0.221030 0.363176 0.667200 1.582609
2025-08-24 0.073800 0.101161 0.143187 0.218073 0.363836 0.684548 1.701976
2025-08-31 0.071378 0.098400 0.140289 0.215879 0.365767 0.705213 1.842728
2025-09-07 0.070166 0.097458 0.140287 0.218887 0.378701 0.755293 2.119887
2025-09-14 0.067515 0.094142 0.136194 0.214053 0.374474 0.760663 2.222150
2025-09-21 0.064496 0.090141 0.130800 0.206480 0.363672 0.747063 2.237783
2025-09-28 0.061873 0.086695 0.126213 0.200198 0.355233 0.738867 2.276578